Is there demand and supply for an instant loan system based on
unregistered promissory notes? Does the Uber model work with loans? Consider a
broker that sets up a clearinghouse that allows borrowers and lenders to get
together and complete transactions. A reasonable design certainly is possible,
so I thought I might make a back of the napkin sketch.
Lenders in such a system must be gamblers; they must be
willing to risk complete loss of the bet. However, if the value of the loan is
small, and the potential payoff large, then the concept might sell.
Lenders push any amount they want to risk to the clearinghouse
and specify the terms. The clearinghouse aggregates the various loans and
notifies the loaners when a borrower accepted their terms. Lenders may specify
the total aggregate value of their loan coupled with others that the loan cannot
exceed. Lenders may request a payoff instantly and the clearinghouse can try to
replace the loan amount with another lender and in lieu of that call the loan
and immediately pay off all the lenders if the call succeeds. If the call does
not succeed then debt collectors or court are the only option and the clearing
house not the lenders may take those options.
The borrowers may request specific terms such as timing of
payments and no call options during an initial period. As always the greater the
risk, the greater the reward, and lenders plunking down hundred dollar chips on
the outcome of the roll of dice might not care if the potential reward is great
enough. The real draw for borrowers is there is no credit check, although
borrowers may have a past unpaid debt with the clearinghouse, which would
disqualify them for any future loan. Competing clearinghouses may wish to share
their list of deadbeats.
The clearinghouses profit from the float before the loan and
collecting loans that failed. For example suppose a borrower could not pay off
a called loan. The clearinghouse sells the debt to a debt collector and keeps
the payment; the actual lenders get nothing. Clearinghouses may operate
differently, some may want to register the promissory notes (especially large
value ones) or have them notarized (if such an action is possible
electronically otherwise clearinghouses need to invent the electronic equivalent).
That is the rough sketch, the only question remaining does
the activity violate gambling laws?
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